The Geopolitics of U.S.-Cuba Relations
December 23, 2014 (By George Friedman; Stratfor) — Last week, U.S. President Barack Obama and Cuban President Raul Castro agreed to an exchange of prisoners being held on espionage charges. In...
View ArticleElite Competition and Economic Reform in Cuba and Vietnam: A Comparative...
Jan 11, 2015 (Vietnamica) — Cuba and Vietnam, as survivors of the Cold War entered the post-Soviet Era with a myriad of economic woes. These eventually served as incentives for these countries to...
View ArticleAt the Heart of the Mariupol Crisis
Jan. 26, 2015 (Stratfor; repub. by Vietnamica) — As the situation on the ground quiets down in the wake of the Jan. 24 barrage by Russian-allied forces near the Ukrainian city of Mariupol, Stratfor is...
View ArticleChina’s Fragile Evolution
March 24, 2015 (Stratfor) — Last week, China’s anti-corruption campaign took a significant turn, though a largely overlooked one. The Supreme People’s Court released a statement accusing former...
View ArticleAmid an Economic Crisis, Russia Contains Dissent
April 9, 2015 (Stratfor, repub. by Vietnamica) — With Russia entering its second recession in six years, the country’s economic and financial hardships are starting to weigh on the Russian people and...
View ArticleUS-Japan-Australia Security Cooperation: Prospects and Challenges – Foreword...
May 4, 2015 (Vietnamica) — I am pleased to present Stimson’s latest publication, US-Japan-Australia Security Cooperation: Prospects and Challenges. This edited volume is a collection of pieces by a...
View ArticleEuropean War Games: Responses to Russian Military Drills
May 7, 2015 (Stratfor) — Several events have coincided to demonstrate the dynamic, if not guarded, relationship between Russia and the Nordic and Baltic states. Ten NATO countries and Sweden launched a...
View ArticleVietnamese Diplomacy, 1975-2015: From Member of the Socialist Camp to...
May 19, 2015 (Vietnamica) — In this paper, Thayer (2015) presents a broad overview of the evolution of Vietnamese diplomacy from national reunification in 1975 to the present. This forty-year timeframe...
View ArticleA Net Assessment of the World
May 19, 2015 (Stratfor; repub. Vietnamica) — A pretentious title requires a modest beginning. The world has increasingly destabilized and it is necessary to try to state, as clearly as possible, what...
View ArticleA Net Assessment of Europe
May 27, 2015 (Stratfor; repub. by Vietnamica) — Last week I began this series with a Net Assessment of the World, in which I focused on the growing destabilization of the Eurasian land mass. This week...
View ArticleAccounting for Inertia in Geopolitical Forecasting
June 3, 2015 (Stratfor, Repub. by Vietnamica) — Geopolitics, at least in the sense that we practice, is neither deterministic in its approach to understanding nations and their interactions nor simply...
View ArticleA Net Assessment of East Asia
June 16, 2015 (Stratfor; Repub. by Vietnamica) — When I began this series a month ago, I pointed out that the most significant feature of the global system currently is the ongoing destabilization of...
View ArticleStrategy in Real Time: Dueling with an Enemy That Moves
July 5, 2015 (Stratfor; repub. by Vietnamica) — Strategy is a two-way street. But many commentators act as though formulating a strategy is the same as solving a chess problem. Chess problems are...
View ArticleWhy China’s Stock Markets Matter
July 10, 2015 (Stratfor, repub. by Vietnamica) — Beijing will continue to intervene where possible to prop up markets and market sentiment. A collapse of the stock market would likely increase deposits...
View ArticleInfrastructure Financing in Asia: Current Situation and Future Outlook
July 12, 2015 (Vietnamica) – Infrastructure development in Asia will support strong economic growth in the region over the longer term. It also has the potential to contribute to further development of...
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